San Francisco Real Estate Market | June 2020

05 Jun San Francisco Real Estate Market | June 2020

San Francisco Real Estate
Spring 2020 Report

Supply & demand statistics, median sales price trends, sales and values by city district, the luxury home market, and the ongoing effects of COVID-19

June 2020

 

Generally speaking, market activity – as measured by the number of listings going into contract – continued to pick up rapidly in May, bouncing back from the steep plunge following the first shelter in place orders. However, activity in May, which is typically among the busiest selling months of the year, still remained well below May 2019. Still, with the easing of shelter in place, as well as the market learning to adjust to new circumstances, it is expected the recovery will continue to surge closer to normal.

Interest rates hit yet another historic low at the end of May.

Median sales prices for both houses and condos dropped significantly in San Francisco in May, but those figures are based on a very low volume of closed sales in the month. An even bigger drop in higher-price home sales also put downward pressure on median prices. May sales and sales prices mostly reflect the huge impact of COVID-19 on the SF market in late March and April. Based on the large jump in accepted-offer activity in May (and especially for more expensive homes), coming months will constitute a better indicator of whether changes in fair market value are occurring.

Anecdotally, word on the street is that buyer demand has come surging back and home prices have so far been little affected, though opinions vary regarding different market segments. We’ll know more soon.

The SF market – as also common in other urban centers – was more deeply and more quickly affected by COVID-19 and shelter-in-place than other more suburban county markets, seeing larger initial drops in activity. Even with the remarkable rebound of buyer demand in May, its recovery is, so far, lagging other counties on a year-over-year basis, especially more suburban and rural counties, such as Marin and Sonoma. A variety of factors may be at play, which are discussed on a chart within this report, however definitive pronouncements regarding longer-term market, economic and demographic effects are impossible to make while the crisis is still at hand.

Rent rates appear to be dropping quickly, subsequent to the enormous increase in unemployment – which typically impacts the rental market more rapidly and significantly than the for-sale market.

NOTE: Any statistics derived from closed sales – such as median sales prices, sales volume and days on market – reflect the state of the market 3-6 weeks ago when the offers were negotiated and accepted – and when the market was most terribly impacted by the crisis.

 

Feel free to connect us to anyone you know who has  questions about real estate in general. If we can’t help them, we know someone who can. Call us at 415-735-5867 for a no-obligation consultation. You can also email us at info@ruthkrishnan.com.

It is impossible to know how median and average value statistics apply to any particular home without a specific comparative market analysis. These analyses were made in good faith with data from sources deemed reliable, but may contain errors and are subject to revision. It is not our intent to convince you of a particular position, but to attempt to provide straightforward data and analysis, so you can make your own informed decisions. Median and average statistics are enormous generalities: There are hundreds of different markets in San Francisco and the Bay Area, each with its own unique dynamics. Median prices and average dollar per square foot values can be and often are affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value. Longer term trends are much more meaningful than short-term.
Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California, DRE 01527235. Equal Housing Opportunity. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes. The information herein is based on or derived from information generally available to the public and/or from sources believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty can be given with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the information. Compass disclaims any and all liability relating to this report, including without limitation any express or implied representations or warranties for statements contained in, and omissions from, the report. Nothing contained herein is intended to be or should be read as any regulatory, legal, tax, accounting or other advice and Compass does not provide such advice. All opinions are subject to change without notice. Compass makes no representation regarding the accuracy of any statements regarding any references to the laws, statutes or regulations of any state are those of the author(s). Past performance is no guarantee of future results.