If you’re curious about what to expect this fall tune into my update where I tell you what’s going on with inventory, home insurance in California, and interest rates. And importantly, is San Francisco really going to hell in a handbag? If you have any questions about buying, selling, anything to do with San Francisco or the real estate market, feel free to contact us. We’d love to brainstorm with you and help you navigate this process.
Generally speaking, the market slowed in July, a common seasonal trend, and August is usually one of the quietest months of the year – though last year, a sudden, but short-lived drop in interest rates kindled buyer demand in August. Underlying economic dynamics – interest rates, inflation, financial markets, employment – remain on the same general tracks as in recent months. The Consumer Confidence Index jumped in July, hitting its best reading since October 2021: The Index is now about halfway between its historic low in June 2022 and the pre-pandemic reading in February 2020.*
Across Bay Area counties, the year-over-year (y-o-y), 3-month-rolling, median home sales price declines that commonly began in the second half of 2022 and peaked in spring have begun to drop. Based on current trends, they will probably continue to dwindle, and perhaps disappear, in the second half of the year.
The number of homes coming on market in the 7 counties of the San Francisco & San Jose Metro Areas during the past 12 months dropped 32% from the previous 12-month period: 22,000 fewer properties were put up for sale.** Along with the recovery in buyer demand and improvements in the general economy, this has been a defining factor in 2023’s market conditions. It is not unusual to see a substantial autumn spike up in SF listing and sales activity after Labor Day, lasting through late October or early November, before the market subsides for the big, mid-winter holiday slowdown, which typically lasts until early in the new year.
Included are charts reviewing both annual home prices for a broad review of appreciation trends, and then 3-month-rolling prices for insight into shorter-term changes. This report also includes a review of home prices and market dynamics of districts within the city.